Spain

It's not the economy, it's politics, stupid!

As I am writing this text, European economies are falling like dominoes. The yield for Irish bonds is skyrocketing as compared to the returns investors get for the German bonds they hold. Tomorrow may be Portugal´s and Spain´s turn. The day after we could be talking about Italy.

European countries are either frantically cutting public expenses or negotiating multi-billion Euro rescue packages with the main international institutions, including the EU and the IMF. Some of them are doing both things at the same time, though markets will not give them a break, despite such draconian measures. Nearly all countries, even the ones better off, have experienced a regress in their real income. So to speak, we all are poorer now.

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Don’t add gasoline to the fire

Last week, the World Bank made public a report  entitled “Global Economic Prospects Summer 2010: Fiscal Headwinds and Recovery”. The report warned that “a serious loss of confidence in the debt of the five most heavily indebted EU countries (EU-5) that led to a freezing-up of credit in those countries could cause GDP growth to slow by as much as 2.4 percent in 2011”. If one looks at the statistics, the most indebted countries in the European Union are Italy, Greece, Belgium, Hungary and France, in this order.

                                Source: Eurostat

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